9/25/2023 0 Comments Current armed conflicts 2017![]() Today, we can no longer assume that a United States shaped by “America first” will provide the bricks and mortar of the international system. But Obama worked to shore up international institutions to fill the gap. The retrenchment of Washington, for both good and ill, began during Barack Obama’s presidency. That order was in flux even before Trump won the election. But the vision of a cooperative international order that emerged after World War II, championed and led by the United States, has structured relations between major powers since the end of the Cold War. The last 60 years have suffered their share of crises, from Vietnam to Rwanda to the Iraq War. Who knows? And that is precisely the problem. Will he cut a deal with Russia over the heads of Europeans? Will he try to undo the Iran nuclear accord? Is he seriously proposing a new arms race? Already, jittery allies from Europe to East Asia are parsing Trump’s tweets and casual bluster. But one thing we do know is that uncertainty itself can be profoundly destabilizing, especially when it involves the most powerful actor on the global stage. Much has been said about the unknowns of Trump’s foreign-policy agenda. ![]() It is against this backdrop that Donald Trump was elected the next president of the United States - unquestionably the most important event of last year and one with far-reaching geopolitical implications for the future. Even in peaceful societies, the politics of fear is leading to dangerous polarization and demagoguery. From the global refugee crisis to the spread of terrorism, our collective failure to resolve conflict is giving birth to new threats and emergencies. The sharp uptick in war over recent years is outstripping our ability to cope with the consequences. The world is entering its most dangerous chapter in decades.
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